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Archive for February, 2012

Paulson’s euro prediction, crime at MF Global tough to prove, ’stupid algos’ and more

Wednesday, February 29th, 2012

What’s news around the hedge fund industry for Wednesday, Feb. 29, 2012:

Around the web

Paulson: More likely than not that the euro ‘falls apart’. (Dow Jones Newswires)

Praise the debt crisis and pass the foie gras – Bloomberg TV’s ‘Titans at the Table’. (The New York Times)

Troubled Healthcare Locums is being sued by Permian, Arundel, Privet Capital and Flinn Investments. (London Evening Standard)

Doubtful signs of a criminal case against MF Global. (DealBook)

Proprietary trading firms said to face Dodd-Frank swap dealer regulations. (Bloomberg)

Q&A with CFTC’s Scott O’Malia on OTC derivatives transparency rulemaking. (Traders Magazine)

U.S. regulators propose rules to protect against identity theft. (Reuters)

Deutsche Boerse to charge for ’stupid algos’. (Financial Times)

Swap talks over Greece could test the market. (DealBook)

Wall Street bonus withdrawal means trading Aspen for Chex. (Bloomberg)

New York Fed sells former AIG assets to Credit Suisse. (DealBook)

Goldman Sachs discloses risk to credit derivatives tied to European debt. (Bloomberg)

Banks vie for $2 billion in fees in secretive European equity derivatives. (Bloomberg)

David Sokol gets $1 million a year in retirement, Berkshire says. (Bloomberg)

Vikram Pandit fast money with hedge funds proves Citigroup dead-end with spinoffs. (Bloomberg)

Insider trading probe broadens to pharma stocks. (Financial Times)

Northstone Peak forms new asia fund platform with China’s Harvest Fund Management. (HFMWeek)

Citco signs HedgeSphere deal with Infonic. (HFMWeek)

Maples Fund Services sweet on hedge fund industry. (HedgeFund.net)

Turiya Fund leaps to $830 million. (HedgeFund.net)

U.K. high court backs Lehman U.S. unit in cash spat. (WSJ.com)

Boston 100 Women in Hedge Funds March gala gives it all away. (Boston Business Journal)

A review of Larry Bossidy’s management text, ‘Execution’, and the new Wall Street paradigm … also, a follow up on Jeremy Lin

Wednesday, February 29th, 2012

As I speak with colleagues of mine, I have clearly come up with a consensus that the “Wall Street” on which we grew up during the 80’s and 90’s, has been indelibly changed. Culminating with the 2008 crisis, this has been a transformation that seems irreversible.

Unlike the “crash of ‘87″, the “‘94 Gulf War crisis” or even the bursting of first Internet bubble, this correction is unyielding. In the past, we had the biotech and technology revolutions as antidotes. However, with the collapse of residential and commercial real estate, and a global contagion created by our zeal for novel and far-flung opportunities, we have finally hit the proverbial wall.

Perhaps, this is the ultimate symptom of the hedge fund phenomenon that began in the early 1980’s. High fees demand extraordinary returns. In a quest to find those prospects, we were forced to visit new frontiers, both geographically and product-wise. Thus began the emerging market and derivative craze. Now, we are left with a hangover that defies resilience, save for total rehabilitation.

Conceivably, this series of events began with the public offerings of major bulge bracket firms. Starting with the likes of Merrill and Hutton, and leading to the publicly traded equities of houses such as Bear, Goldman and Morgan. While the former might have worked, given their steady revenues due to recurring commissions, the model was severely stressed when transferred to firms that were more proprietary in nature. Thus, we have reached a period that calls for reconstruction.

Make no mistake, the financial industry is populated with some of the most intelligent and creative minds found anywhere on the globe. This period will be painful, all rehabilitations are, but what will emerge, if executed properly, will be a sustainable and more permanent system. Let us call it the “new Wall Street paradigm.”

This is less about a place on the southern tip of Manhattan, and more about a new strategy, where the clients and the service providers are truly separate and each party’s interests are clearly defined. This shift is inevitable, given the new regulation engulfing the post-Volcker period. The “Street” has proven adaptable in the past; there is no reason to feel it will be different this time. The reality is that given the shifting landscape toward a more sophisticated consumer base (30% of Americans over age 25 now have Bachelor’s degrees), and an ever increasing regulatory environment, there is no other choice.

This leads me to this edition’s topic: a review of Larry Bossidy’s book, Execution. Bossidy is well-known in business circles as a successful former CEO of Honeywell and Allied Signal. More relevant to his bona fides was his tenure as COO at GE, developing legendary productivity and strategic innovations working under Jack Welch. His co-author is Ram Charan, a Harvard professor who specializes in strategic development and is an advisor to Fortune 500 companies.
Together, they collaborated to write this acclaimed book on linking people, strategy and operations together in order to effect a new vision. The central tenet to their thesis is creating a business based in conceptual honesty and realism. In the final analysis, what Execution aims to teach us is central to many business hypotheses. While creating new commercial concepts may be intellectually rewarding, without execution, it becomes an exercise in futility.

I am well aware of the criticism the financial industry faced when it previously tried to utilize industrial corporate methods. I remember working for Dean Witter when they merged with Sears, and hearing the jokes about selling stocks and socks. Yet, that was in 1982, at the advent of one of the greatest “bull runs” in corporate history. In a period like that, you can throw out the play book and just reap the fertile harvest.

We now stand at a new epoch, one marked by a period of intense regulation, and a push for far greater consumer protection. It is with that in mind, that I opened Bossidy’s book.

His era was marked by America’s need to compete with more efficient Japanese and German manufacturers. GE created the successful use of the quality management tool “Six Sigma” and GE Capital. He was part of a cadre of business leaders who perceived a need for change and engaged it. In our new paradigm, financial firms will be forced to either become client- or self-focused. They will also need to be structured more like the old partnership model. This will either happen organically or by fiat. In the new paradigm, Wall Street firms will have to bear responsibility for their own risk and reward. Those firms that choose not to place their own wagers will need to exclusively and completely service an ever more knowledgeable consumer. We are headed back to the future, so to speak.

Execution deals with this by advocating a need to acknowledge a gap and close it. In one of his more salient sections, Bossidy spells out seven essential behaviors behind results oriented leadership:

- Know your people and your business.
- Insist on realism.
- Set clear goals and priorities.
- Follow through.
- Reward the doers.
- Expand people’s capabilities
- Know yourself.

As Execution expands on these behaviors, it demonstrates a demand for an honest, robust dialogue, one based in the realization of a need for a new model and the means to achieve it. By focusing on a set of clear goals, combined with the pragmatic assessment of an organization’s limits, effective execution is possible.

In later chapters, Bossidy and Charan study the link between people, strategy and operations. Here, they constantly stress the requirement to assess the skill set of one’s employees, and the crucial element of placing them in the right positions. Most accomplished are leaders who consistently seek feedback from the troops and fairly enact it. Ultimately, by rewarding the best behavior, a business can successfully fulfill its new mission.

Finally, the book speaks about the need to create a realistic business plan that considers both the external and interior environment. One centered on understanding your client’s desires and the best path to meeting those needs. In a word that has become almost faddish, the last result of a sound business strategy is one that has “sustainability.”

Getting back to finance, what today’s firm needs is a strategy that realizes a demand for educating its client, and then meeting their goals. They should do this while constantly retesting their own assumptions and recommendations. A plan that honestly creates that atmosphere will be well prepared for the new paradigm.

Execution is a well-thought-out guide for corporate change. Given our current state of affairs, a Wall Street CEO could do worse than to pick up Execution, a study of “the discipline of getting things done.”

A follow up on the Jeremy Lin phenomenon:

We are now into week four of the Jeremy Lin phenomenon, and there is much to be learned regarding the parallels between “stocks and sports.” Lin, like a soaring growth stock, has now appeared on everyone’s radar. Admirably, he has handled the new pressure to perform and delivered results. The Knicks are 9-3 since his hot streak. However, 9 -3 does not a dynasty make and Lin is intelligent enough to realize that. Professional defenses will adapt to him, and the hard reality of the hyper-competitive NBA life will continue to be a challenge for Lin. To his credit, he seems like someone prepared to withstand the onslaught.

What dismays me, is that we are already hearing the rank and file call for a Knick upheaval that would include trading Carmelo Anthony. That is just plain wrongheaded. Players like Anthony have been through many seasons and challenges; they are battle tested stars and for good reason. They have delivered throughout their careers and they will adapt to new teammates in order to win. They have succeeded because of their determination and competitiveness. Trading an Anthony, a Durant or a Bryant to make room for a new star, is like kicking Coca Cola or Microsoft out of your portfolio for the latest biotech.

We like Lin, and everything he brings to the table. His future may truly shine bright. Let’s just give this kid a chance to acclimate himself to his new status, while we still hold on to the proven warriors.

Until the next time … The Thoughtful Arbitrageur.

Edward Strafaci is not an investment adviser. Nothing he writes should be construed as investment advice or an endorsement of any particular security. From time to time, a family trust with which he is associated may have positions in the securities he writes about. When it does, he will tell you. What he writes is meant to inform and in some cases to entertain and amuse. HedgeWorld’s Alternative Reality is not an investment advisory site. As a general rule you should not take investment advice from blogs, anyway. Consult a financial professional for investment advice, not a blog.

Apple’s hedge fund owners, ‘monetary anarchy’, Jon Corzine’s old car and more

Tuesday, February 28th, 2012

What’s news around the hedge fund industry for Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2012:

Around the web

Pension funds willing to pay 2 and 30 fees, but now more analytical: Deutsche Bank survey. (IPE.com)

Apple hedge fund ownership makes it King Kong of crowded trades. (Seeking Alpha)

New central bank cash glut risks ‘monetary anarchy’. (Reuters)

Highfields Capital Management calls for ouster of CoreLogic’s management. (DealBook)

Is Jon Corzine’s old car for sale? (DealBook)

Michael Douglas tackles greed for the FBI. (DealBook)

Muddy Waters losing support in market as latest calls prove inconclusive. (Bloomberg)

Volcker rule makes traders look beyond Wall Street, Sanford Bernstein’s Brad Hintz says. (Bloomberg)

Customers cry foul over MF Global’s privacy policy. (Bloomberg, via Crain’s New York Business)

Claim of short-selling ban victory in Europe. (Financial Times)

The ferment of finance. (The Economist)

Of plumbing and promises: The back office moves center stage. (The Economist)

Q&A: How can HFT truly slow down? (Advanced Trading)

Commodity investments may increase by $40 billion in 2012. (Bloomberg Businessweek)

MF Global: Crime, Comedy and the cover-up. (Janet Tavakoli on HuffPo)

George Saffaye thinks ‘transparency generates lower returns’. (HedgeFund.net)

Hedge funds mop up mandates as funds of funds lose ground: Towers Watson. (HFMWeek)

Survey finds cost of health insurance for hedge fund managers rising at slower rate. (BusinessWire)

JPMorgan says credit, swaps lead trading revenue sources in rare breakdown. (Bloomberg)

Pension funds are warming to ’smart beta’ investment strategies. (IPE.com)

Deutsche Bank, Guggenheim in ‘exclusive’ talks over Deutsche’s asset management business. (IPE.com)

People moves

Hedge Connection named co-founder Rob Arthurs as chief executive, replacing Lisa Vioni, who is leaving to take a job as managing director in the investor relations group at Cerberus Capital Management.

Bill Herder has been named executive director of FIA Asia, the Asian arm of the Futures Industry Association, according to a news release from the FIA. Nick Ronalds, FIA Asia’s executive director since 2007, will stay on as a senior advisor.

Players in the MF Global saga tell their stories to Mark Melin

Tuesday, February 28th, 2012

In this third issue of the Uncorrelated Investments Show, hosted by Mark Melin, players in the MF Global saga tell their stories.

First up is Stanley Haar, whose efforts in Congress have been gaining traction towards ultimate investigation into MF Global wrong doing. Haar discusses his personal experience when he first learned of the MF Global issue and then discusses his discretionary agricultural trading method at a high level.

After this Melin goes to a presentation given by James Koutoulas, founder of the Commodity Customer Collation, and his experiences protecting MF Global investors. Note in this presentation how essentially no one came to the aid of investors in early court procedures.

Watch the first two installments of the show here and here.

Hedge fund headaches

Tuesday, February 28th, 2012

Is your friendly neighborhood hedge fund prepared for March 30?

That’s the deadline to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This change in regulation—brought forth by the Dodd-Frank legislation—requires large hedge funds to provide the SEC with details about their risk management, trading, and disciplinary records. According to CNBC, this could mean that the $15 billion Moore Capital Management will transform itself into a smaller type of fund that would focus on its founder’s investments, instead of those from outside investors.

This is not the positive news hedge fund managers were hoping to get in 2012. But it’s not unexpected. They’ve been preparing for the Dodd-Frank invasion for some time, which is why Moore Capital Management and other hedge funds are considering a transformation. Many are expected to disappear entirely, while others could face harsh penalties for violating rules that were (up until now) completely ignored.

Interestingly, the SEC did allow for a few exemptions under the Dodd-Frank Act:

- Advisers solely to venture capital funds.
- Advisers solely to private funds with less than $150 million in assets under management in the U.S.
- Certain foreign advisers without a place of business in the U.S.

But considering the fact that most major hedge funds do not meet the criteria above, it’s not surprising to hear that many are fearful of the future.

“It’s trying,” Brad Alford, a money manager who invests in Moore Capital Management (among other hedge funds), told CNBC, expressing his disappointment. “The years that we needed hedge funds to perform the most—in 2008 and 2011—they failed us miserably.”

With hedge funds failing to live up to expectations, and with the impending regulation threatening to forever change the industry, guys like Alford might be tempted to leave the investment community for a more substantial job on Wall Street.

This content originally appeared on StreetID, a financial career networking, matchmaking and news site. To learn more about StreetID, visit StreetID.com. StreetID’s financial career news can be found on its blog, streetid.com/newsblog/.

Show Me the Money!

Tuesday, February 28th, 2012

If you haven’t seen Jerry Maguire, you should, but if you haven’t, there’s one exchange you’ve probably at least heard colloquially referenced at some point- a rather famous scene where agent Jerry Maguire is being goaded by client Tidwell into yelling, “Show me the money!”

Tidwell wants to see the dollar signs, and we don’t blame him- or the would-be managed futures investor who demands the same. In fact, those investors may be smarter than they realize. You see, we get so caught up in analyzing the compound ROR, max Drawdown, Sharpe ratios and the rest of it… we sometimes forget to keep our eye on the ball and ask one very simple question – how much actual money has this manager made for investors?

It is so ingrained in the investor psyche to look at percentage returns (YTD, compound ROR, past 3yrs, etc), that many of us forget to think that these investments are hoping to actually make real money for investors, not just post percentage numbers on a score board. But that shouldn’t matter… should it? The data tells us otherwise.

Click here to read the full piece.

To read more Managed Futures research pieces, visit Attain’s Managed Futures Newsletterarchive and our Managed Futures Blog.

DISCLAIMER

Forex trading, commodity trading, managed futures, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors.

The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times- enjoyment of the world of alternative investments through managed futures, trading systems, and managed forex.  Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts.

The mention of asset class performance is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.) , and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices:  such as survivorship and self reporting biases, and instant history.

Managed Futures Disclaimer:

Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.

Copyright © 2011 Attain Capital Management, licensed Managed Futures, Trading System &Commodity Brokers. All Rights Reserved. Reprinted with permission.

MF Global wire transfers scrutinized, Corzine testimony in doubt, Rambourg’s new fund and more

Monday, February 27th, 2012

What’s news around the hedge fund industry for Monday, Feb. 27, 2012:

Around the web

Investigators scrutinize MF Global wire transfers. (DealBook)

Starboard Value uses aggressive tactics to influence Mosinee-based company. (Wausau (Wis.) Daily Herald)

Barclays analyst says breaking up The Hartford is unlikely. (Hartford Courant)

Hevesi adviser Hank Morris denied parole in New York pension fund scandal. (WSJ.com)

Guillaume Rambourg’s new fund, Verrazzano, set to launch. (City AM)

Whodunit at MF Global: New evidence casts doubt on Jon Corzine’s testimony. (WSJ.com)

Managed futures’ performance fees lurk in loophole. (InvestmentNews)

Size matters in hedge funds. (Financial Times)

Motorola Solutions to buy back shares from Icahn. (DealBook)

State Street says N.Y. authorities probing forex. (Reuters)

People moves

Macro Risk Advisors hired Brian Bier as managing director and head of equity derivatives sales and trading, according to a news release from the firm. Previously Bier was head of listed equity derivative trading at Nomura Securities.

KPMG hired John Budzyna as the firm’s National Leader, Market Development for Alternative Investments, and Maurice Holmes as managing director, Market Development for Alternative Investments. Budzyna previously worked as the chief executive of Cutting Hedge Consulting Co. LLC, a hedge fund advisory firm, according to a news release from KPMG. Holmes was a director in the investment banking division at Credit Suisse, where among other jobs he was head of the firm’s hedge fund consulting services group.

Getco LLC names Daniel Coleman chief executive. (Crain’s Chicago Business)

Jim Rogers happy to sit out equity bull run

Monday, February 27th, 2012

And one more from Jim Rogers’ Reuters Insider interview last week with Axel Threlfall. In this installment, Rogers argues that stocks could well go even higher due to central bank stimulus, but he refuses to buy into it.

“Well I have plenty of ways that I’m participating,” Rogers says. “As we’ve discussed before, I own a lot of commodities. If things are going to be good, commodities are going to do extremely well and are doing extremely well because of the shortages that are existing. So I’m playing and I own some currencies. I’m there. There’s more than one way to skin a cat, Axel, and I’m skinning it in my own way.”

SEC Form D filings for Feb. 27, 2012

Monday, February 27th, 2012

Under the Securities Act of 1933, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission allows companies to offer securities for sale without having to register those securities or file periodic reports, provided the companies meet exemptions laid out in Regulation D. For hedge funds’ purposes, those securities are limited partnerships. When a hedge fund firm sells its first securities, it is required by Reg D to file a Form D, which includes names and addresses of the company’s executive officers and stock promoters and the date of the first sale in the offering. As such, Form D filings can be a useful tool to find new hedge fund launches.

Periodically, HedgeWorld publishes links to recent Form D filings. Here are the latest:

Praxis GCM Partners, LP

Cupps Small Cap Growth Fund, LLC

Plurax

Highwood Partners QP, LP

Highwood Partners L.P.

TWO SIGMA CONSTELLATION ONE FUND, LTD.

—Compiled by Angela Sormani

Greek bond exchange, EM hedge funds up, high-frequency trading complexity ’stymies’ SEC and more

Friday, February 24th, 2012

What’s news around the hedge fund industry for Friday, Feb. 24, 2012:

Around the web

Greece’s bond exchange: it’s official. (Felix Salmon) Press release.

Oil prices will rise ’till economy ‘breaks’. (Bloomberg TV)

‘Judge the trader, not the trading’: George Michaels’ advice on the Volcker rule. (Traders Magazine)

Crispin Odey’s top U.S. picks for 2012. (Investment Week)

Emerging market hedge funds add 4.4% in January. (FINalternatives)

SEI: Institutions committed to hedge funds but the message is clear – more information, please. (HedgeWeek)

Iceland solves banking crisis by indicting bankers, forcing mortgage relief. (Daily Kos)

Greek CDS worries fade ahead of debt swap. (MarketWatch)

Aberdeen Asset Management revamps multi-manager arm. (Citywire)

For hedge funds in Asia, big is beautiful. (Deal Journal)

SEC seems stymied by complexity of high-frequency trading. (The Washington Post, via The Seattle Times)

Playing with fire: Financial innovation can do a lot of good … it is its tendency to excess that must be cured. (The Economist)

The fast and the furious: High-frequency trading seems scary, but what does the evidence show? (The Economist)




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